Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000650 0.000746 0.000848 0.000963 0.001091 0.001227 0.001382
2025-04-27 0.000505 0.000638 0.000789 0.000972 0.001186 0.001428 0.001721
2025-05-04 0.000420 0.000566 0.000741 0.000962 0.001232 0.001547 0.001939
2025-05-11 0.000350 0.000502 0.000693 0.000943 0.001258 0.001638 0.002125
2025-05-18 0.000310 0.000469 0.000675 0.000956 0.001319 0.001768 0.002355
2025-05-25 0.000273 0.000435 0.000653 0.000958 0.001364 0.001877 0.002560
2025-06-01 0.000232 0.000390 0.000610 0.000928 0.001363 0.001923 0.002685
2025-06-08 0.000197 0.000350 0.000571 0.000900 0.001360 0.001966 0.002803
2025-06-15 0.000175 0.000327 0.000553 0.000897 0.001391 0.002051 0.002977
2025-06-22 0.000157 0.000306 0.000536 0.000896 0.001421 0.002135 0.003151
2025-06-29 0.000138 0.000283 0.000514 0.000884 0.001436 0.002197 0.003296
2025-07-06 0.000121 0.000261 0.000490 0.000868 0.001442 0.002247 0.003423
2025-07-13 0.000112 0.000253 0.000491 0.000889 0.001504 0.002377 0.003666
2025-07-20 0.000103 0.000243 0.000486 0.000902 0.001554 0.002492 0.003892
2025-07-27 0.000091 0.000226 0.000468 0.000891 0.001568 0.002554 0.004042
2025-08-03 0.000079 0.000208 0.000446 0.000874 0.001569 0.002597 0.004166
2025-08-10 0.000073 0.000201 0.000443 0.000886 0.001616 0.002708 0.004390
2025-08-17 0.000066 0.000191 0.000434 0.000888 0.001648 0.002798 0.004583
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000173 0.000409 0.000860 0.001629 0.002809 0.004662
2025-08-31 0.000048 0.000157 0.000385 0.000833 0.001612 0.002821 0.004742
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000148 0.000376 0.000831 0.001633 0.002893 0.004911
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000140 0.000367 0.000829 0.001655 0.002967 0.005084
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000131 0.000354 0.000819 0.001662 0.003016 0.005220